Hi, I’m Jonas Camargos Jensen. I’m a PhD candidate in Financial Economics at the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management.
My research lies in the intersection of monetary economics and asset pricing, focusing on how financial markets and central banks interact.
I will be on the academic job market in 2025/2026.
Job Market Paper
Trading Volume and Monetary Policy Surprises ▾
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Abstract
High-frequency identification of the causal effects of monetary policy relies on measuring monetary policy surprises–changes in interest rate futures prices in narrow windows around FOMC announcements. This paper revisits two key assumptions in their construction: fixed event windows and fixed loadings across the term structure. I introduce the Volume-Based Monetary Policy Surprise (VBS), which determines announcement-specific event windows and loadings from observed trading volume. Relaxing these assumptions substantially increases the estimated effects of monetary policy: the VBS doubles the impact on Treasury yields and equity markets and generates sizable impacts on macroeconomic aggregates. The flexible event windows capture price discovery that often extends beyond conventional 30-minute windows. The flexible loadings naturally shift toward longer-dated contracts when the Federal Reserve relies on forward guidance about future policy.
AFA 2026 - Poster Session, 9th HEC Paris Finance PhD Workshop, Barcelona Summer Forum - Advances in Structural Shock Identification, 3rd PhD Workshop on Money & Finance at Sveriges Riksbank
Working Papers
Liquidity Facilities: Evidence from High-Frequency Identification ▾
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Abstract
This paper constructs a novel high-frequency liquidity news surprise to identify the effects of Federal Reserve liquidity facility announcements during the Global Financial Crisis and COVID-19 pandemic. Using local projections, we show that liquidity facility announcements substantially lower long-term Treasury yields, with a one percentage point expansionary surprise reducing 10-year yields by approximately 0.2 percentage points. This effect operates almost entirely through term premia rather than expected future short rates. Inconvenience yields on treasury securities fall substantially and primary dealers increase their relative holdings of Treasuries. Our findings demonstrate that liquidity facilities represent an effective tool which reduces risk premia during financial crises.
Lancaster ETM Workshop 2024, ECB
Work in Progress
Trading, Beliefs and Monetary Policy Disagreement ▾
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12th Uni York–BoE–BdF Asset Pricing Workshop 2025
